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Investment Insights

Bumpy ride as economies shift to new paradigm

Positive returns comfortably ahead of inflation can be expected over the longer term but full valuations in some areas, despite recent selloffs, and likely slowing in economic activity encourage a cautious stance for now. Economic growth this year has been stronger... read more

Shift to lower rates unsettling markets

Global growth is slowing as the rebound from pandemic disruptions fades. The US economy was surprisingly strong through 2023, helped by fiscal support and consumers bolstered by plentiful work opportunities, high pandemic savings and the positive wealth effect from... read more

Navigating opportunities in volatile markets

Activity is slowing, more volatile and with starkly different characteristics across regions. Growth has surprised on the upside this year, but signs of slowing are becoming more evident. Conditions should be far weaker next year as delayed constraints from higher... read more

Surprising economic resilience adds to rates pressures

Global economic activity has held up remarkably well in 2023. Tighter monetary policy has been offset by improving supply chain efficiency as conditions normalise from pandemic and Ukraine war shocks. Interest-rate sensitive spending has been hampered by the... read more

Spending softening as savings exhausted

Challenging conditions reflect tightening monetary settings and stubborn inflation. Economic growth is decreasing with mild recessions likely in key regions as the year progresses. Manufacturing and construction are softening significantly given the stimulus-fuelled... read more

Growth slayed as central bank knights fight inflation

A global economic slowdown of significance is underway. Rolling recessions are likely in the next eighteen months as key regions are pounded by supply shocks relating to pandemic complications, war in Ukraine and rising interest rates. A more challenged outlook... read more

Bad news on inflation may unsettle markets

Key issues impacting the investment landscape include the pandemic which continues to complicate activity, inflation which may stay surprisingly high for an extended period, interest rate hikes which will likely weaken economies next year and recession risks which are... read more

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